Sunday, July 19, 2009

Weekly Outlook for Indian Stock Markets - 20th July to 24th July 2009

Friday's Review
Indian stock markets had a great run on Friday with benchmark indices going up by yet another 3-4%. Among the sectors, Bank Nifty was up by 4.5%. Leading the pack was ICICI Bank which has again roared back to 750 Rs levels. Overall, the entire week has been a memorable one for the markets as it covered up all the losses that it had made during the last week. Further upside from hereon would largely dependent upon monsoon and the global factors.

Apple and Yahoo are due to announce their results on Tuesday which would impact our markets on Wednesday. Crude Inventories data is also due on Wednesday. Crude has again picked up on Friday and trading at around 63 USD per barrel. In domestic markets, no major cap will be announcing their results on Monday / Tuesday, so no major cues other than monsoon.
FII View
FIIs on Friday were net buyers, albeit not the drivers of the rally. In the cash segment, FIIs were net buyers by around 150 crores. The buying, though a positive one, but not so great in the current rally. It seems valuations are the ones that stopping them to participate.

In the Index Futures segment, FIIs made net purchases of 700 crores, adding about 25000 new contracts. In the Index Options segment, FIIs were net sellers by about 330 crores, adding 30000 new contracts. The Open Interest for 4300 Put has increased the maximum by 45% on day-to-day basis. Similarly, the Open Interest for 4300 Call has decreased by 20%, primarily on account of profit-booking.

The above cues indicate range bound markets for the first few days of the markets. Traders can go short on Nifty around 4425 with stop-losses @ 4460 and target levels of 4350.

Stocks Ideas
Satyam Computers and Jp Hydro hit their target prices on Friday, giving gains of around 15% from recommendation levels. The current level do not justify the new recommendations, except for one which is given below:

Scrip Name - Buy/Sell - Recommended Price - Target Price - Stop Loss Price
Infosys Tech - Buy - 1825 - 1930 - 1770

Wishing you a great trading day ahead!!