Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Infotech Enterprises - promising growth for the future


1) Infotech Enterprise is India's growing Information Technology company. It provides IT based solutions in various domains such as Aerospace, Telecom, Utilities, Consumer Energy, Medical, Oil & Gas to name a few.

2) The company has posted growth rate of 28% in the sales and 50% in profit on year to year basis. Also, it has fared better in European sector which is a positive indication for the company. 

3) The company has recently received many awards for its growth, CSR and governance related matters. It has received "Golden Peacock Awards 2012 for Corporate Governance" which is given to promising IT companies which further provides it the premium over its peer as FIIs and DIIs give focus to corporate governance while investing the funds into a company.

4) The company operates in verticals which has lesser congestion. It is doing well which gives it comparatively stronger platform to boost its business.

5) No shares have been pledged, which is a +ve indication. No major interest expenses (0.01%) and hence no major worry in that space.

6) In terms of valuations, the company is not expensive. It is likely to earn EPS of around 22-24 Rs for FY13. Even at conservative PE of 11-13X, the fair target price arrives in the band of 232-312 Rs. It translates into the potential upside of ~15% from current levels conservatively.

7) In the last one year, the share price has increased by 100%. Though in the last three months, it is trading in the narrow range of 175-195 Rs.


Wishing you a profitable investing!!

Monday, December 10, 2012

Tremendous addition in Open Interest in PSU Banks- 12 Dec 2012


Indian Stock Markets though, have ended flat in today's session, but an interesting trend has seen in the derivatives space.
Amongst the top 10 stocks which have gained Open Interest, 6 are from the banking space, all gaining between 2-12%. These are listed below:

1) Karnataka Bank is up 12%, with Open Interest addition of 58%.

2) Federal Bank is up 5% with Open Interest addition of 46%.

3) Oriental Bank is up 5% with Open Interest addition of 20%.

4) Canara Bank is up 1% with Open Interest addition of 17%.

5) Dena Bank is up 4% with Open Interest addition of 17%.

6) Vijaya Bank is up 4% with Open Interest addition of 15%
.
It seems Indian Equity Markets are discounting the news of Bank Re-capitalization and Mergers which is expected to be announced this week. Watch out for the banking space and enter into any Public Sector Banks cautiously. Even if you plan to enter, place strict stop-losses for the same.

Wishing you a profitable trading...

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Buy Century Textiles at 387 with stop loss of 375 and target levels of 415 and 430

Century Textiles has broken the previous short term high made at 376 and close the Friday at 390, which indicates a break-out.

The stock is in strong bullish momentum and likely to move further. The stock provides attractive risk to reward ratio. One may buy the stock at around 387 with stop-loss at 375 and target levels of 416 and 432.



Sell ICICI Bank around 1040-1045, target levels - 1020, 995 and stop-loss 1065


ICICI Bank rallied sharply in the beginning of September and reached the levels of 1050-1100. Since then, it has stuck in this range for about a month.

On Friday though, it has broken that range and closed at 1044. Technically it is a breach of support range and likely to further go down. We anticipate it to first take some support at around 1020 and then at around 990-995. On the upside, one may put stop-loss at 1064.



Wishing you a profitable trading!!

Saturday, September 22, 2012

RAJIV GANDHI EQUITY SAVINGS SCHEME (RGESS) - Basic Guidelines


RAJIV GANDHI EQUITY SAVINGS SCHEME (RGESS) - FINANCE MINISTER APPROVES THE OPERATIONAL FEATURES

PRESS RELEASE, DATED 21-9-2012

 

The Union Finance Minister Shri P. Chidambaram approved a new tax saving scheme called "Rajiv Gandhi Equity Saving Scheme" (RGESS),exclusively for the first time retail investors in Securities Market. This Scheme would give tax benefits to new investors who invest up to Rs. 50,000 and whose annual income is below Rs. 10 lakh.

The Scheme not only encourages the flow of savings and improves the depth of domestic capital markets, but also aims to promote an 'equity culture' in India. This is also expected to widen the retail investor base in the Indian securities markets.

Salient features of the Scheme are as under:

a. Scheme is open to new retail investors, identified on the basis of their PAN numbers. This includes those who have opened the Demat Account but have not made any transaction in equity and /or in derivatives till the date of notification of this Scheme and all those account holders other than the first account holder who wish to open a fresh account.

b. Those investors whose annual taxable income is ≤ Rs. 10 lakhs are eligible under the Scheme.

c. The maximum Investment permissible under the Scheme is Rs. 50,000 and the investor would get a 50% deduction of the amount invested from the taxable income for that year.

d. Under the Scheme, those stocks listed under the BSE 100 or CNX 100, or those of public sector undertakings which are Navratnas, Maharatnas and Miniratnas would be eligible. Follow-on Public Offers (FPOs) of the above companies would also be eligible under the Scheme. IPOs of PSUs, which are getting listed in the relevant financial year and whose annual turnover is not less than Rs. 4000 Crore for each of the immediate past three years, would also be eligible.

e. In addition, considering the requests from various stakeholders, Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Mutual Funds (MFs) that have RGESS eligible securities as their underlying and are listed and traded in the stock exchanges and settled through a depository mechanism have also been brought under RGESS.

f. To benefit the small investors, the investments are allowed to be made in instalments in the year in which tax claims are made.

g. The total lock-in period for investments under the Scheme would be three years including an initial blanket lock-in period of one year, commencing from the date of last purchase of securities under RGESS.

h. After the first year, investors would be allowed to trade in the securities in furtherance of the goal of promoting an equity culture and as a provision to protect them from adverse market movements or stock specific risks as well as to give them avenues to realize profits.

i. Investors would, however, be required to maintain their level of investment during these two years at the amount for which they have claimed income tax benefit or at the value of the portfolio before initiating a sale transaction, whichever is less, for at least 270 days in a year. The calculation of 270 days includes those days pursuant to the day on which the market value of the residual shares /units has automatically touched the stipulated value after the date of debit.

j. The general principle under which trading is allowed is that whatever is the value of stocks/units sold by the investor from the RGESS portfolio, RGESS compliant securities of at least the same value are credited back into the account subsequently. However, the investor is allowed to take benefits of the appreciation of his RGESS portfolio, provided its value, as on the previous day of trading, remains above the investment for which they have claimed income tax benefit.

k. For the purpose of valuation of shares, the closing price as on the previous day of the date of trading will be considered so that new investors are certain about their debits and credits into the account.

l. In case the investor fails to meet the conditions stipulated, the tax benefit will be withdrawn.

Like all financial products which have reached out substantially to the retail investors (post office savings, life insurance policies etc) through tax benefits, this tax break for direct investment in equity is expected to substantially encourage the retail participation in securities market as well as to enhance their participation in the growth of Indian industry. Entry of more retail investors are expected to further deepen the securities markets as they bring in long-term stable funds, which can counteract the volatility created by the liquidity providers of the market. The Scheme, thus, also furthers the goal of financial stability and promotes financial inclusion. Since Exchange Traded Funds and Mutual Funds have also been brought under the Scheme, the Scheme should provide encouragement and re-assurance to the first time investors.

The broad provisions of the Scheme and the income tax benefits under it have already been incorporated as a new section 80CCG of the Income Tax Act, 1961, as amended by the Finance Act, 2012.

Department of Revenue will notify the Scheme and SEBI will issue the relevant circulars to operationalize the Scheme in the next two weeks.

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

Buy SUN TV with target price of 275 and Stop loss of 245 - 13 June 2012

SUN TV seems a good buying opportunity now.

1) The share has bounced back from 225 Rs levels and has crossed the resistance levels of 240-247.

2) The stock may now test its previous support levels of 275.

3) Open Interest has increased on rising stock price which indicates continuous support coming from derivatives side. Open Interest is now 63% more than the maximum Open Interest logged for last three months.
 
 

Thursday, March 8, 2012

Buy Core-education. FY 12 target stands at 330, FY 13 target stands at 400

Core-education & Technologies
Core-education and Technologies is one of India's leading company in e-learning space, along with Educomp Technologies.

The domain of e-learning is growing exponentially in India as more and more schools are moving towards digital learning space.

Company's fundamentals are very strong. In FY11, it earned EPS of 20 Rs. In 9-months of FY12, it has attained EPS of 21 Rs and likely to close this financial year with EPS of 30 Rs. Hence, even if we give conservative Price-to-Earning (PE) of 10-11X PE, the scrip should close at 300-330 Rs by this month end.

For FY13, it is expected to earn EPS of 40 Rs and with PE of 10X, the target price for FY13 stands at 400 Rs and hence, shows an upside of 40% from the current levels. DII and FII holdings is increasing gradually which indicates strong belief in this company's fundamentals.

Technically too, the stock is in bullish phase in short term. In weekly charts, the short term trend is on verge of breakout from long term levels which if happens, will take stock to 300 Rs.



Thursday, March 1, 2012

Bank of Baroda - Sell at 845 with target price of 770, Stop Loss of 890

Sell Bank of Baroda

1) Bank of Baroda has made a downwards trend line starting from Nov 10 when it made a high of 1050. Similar tops have been made at 980 and then 870.

2) There was a strong support zone in 845-860 range where it traded for 3-4 months before it breaks it down and now acting as a resistance zone.

3) First Support comes at 770 where the current rise started around 10 days back. The second support comes at 730 where the stock has taken support three times.

4) 5 Day exponential moving average is above 34 Day average which is a bullish signal. It indicates that stock might try to enter into resistance zone.

5) RSI is neutral which again indicates bullish for short term.

Overall, the stock is likely to face resistance at around 5% from the current levels from where we anticipate favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Hence, we recommend "Sell" at those levels.