Monday, July 29, 2013

Buy Syndicate Bank as it reaches its support zone - 29th July 2013

Syndicate Bank is among India's growing Public Sector Banks. The bank has shown some remarkable growth in the last few quarters and fundamentally, stands at very attractive valuations.

Price Charts
1) Technically, the stock has reached the strong support zone of 84-87 Rs and likely to show some support around it (See Chart below).

2) If it takes the support around this level, then we are likely to see a rebound which can push the stock up till 93 Rs. If that resistance level is breached, then we may see the stock reaching back to 101-103 Rs levels.


Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Nifty is close to a break out - 24th July 2013

1) Nifty has shown some remarkable progress in the last few sessions, despite adverse economic conditions in Indian economy as RBI tighten noose on financial system to protect currency.

2) Nifty, if corrects from the levels of 6080-6110 on closing basis and breaks 5950 on the downside, can actually then correct further down to 5550-5650 levels as this will confirm the heads & shoulders pattern made by the index (See chart below)



3) Though on the upside, if is able to breach 6190-6210, then can actually move further up to make new highs around 6400-6450. The break out above 6190 is very crucial as this is where the last top has been formed (See Chart below)



4) Amidst such environment, it is advised to buy a bull spread and bear spread strategy for the August series and wait for a breakout till 10th August.

5) Buy 5900 Put and Sell 5600 Put which gives a net outflow of 40 Rs and similarly, Buy 6300 Call and Sell 6500 Call for August series, again leading to net outflow of Rs. 30. The combined net outflow is Rs. 70 which translates to maximum loss of Rs. 3500. 

6) If it corrects, one may exit the bear spread strategy when Nifty reaches 5750. On the inverse, it is goes up, one may exit from bull spread strategy, if Nifty reaches 6420.

Monday, July 15, 2013

Sell Sun Pharma as it shows fatigue signs - 16th July 2013

1) Sun Pharma is India's leading Pharma company in India. The company enjoys the leadership position and demand highest valuations among Pharma stock fraternity.

Price Volume Analysis
2) The stock declined to 970 on June 16th and rebounded since then to close today at 1110 Rs (+14%) without any correction. RSI at around 72 indicates over bought situation (Chart 1)



3) Today though stock has shown fatigues. After making the highs of 1125 Rs today, the stock steadily declined to close at Rs. 1110.

4) Volume has too declined by 23% and Delivery volumes by 30% which also points to consolidation or some correction in the coming days.

5) On the technical charts, the stock shows some support around 1090 Rs and then 1068 Rs.


6) In the midst of it, we may Sell the stock at around 1105-1115 Rs with stop-loss around 1130 and target levels of 1090 and 1068 Rs where support level exists.

7) Derivatives traders can buy 1080 Put and Sell 1060 Put which gives risk to reward ratio of 1:3. As per today's closing price, one may earn maximum profit of Rs. 15 per share and maximum loss exists at 5 Rs per share.

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Sell Hindalco as it reaches resistance zone - 11th July 2013

1) Hindalco is India's leading Metals company in India and the flag bearer of Birla group.

2) Today, the metal stocks including Hindalco have gained, as Fed Chairman gave a positive speech aiding stimulus for the next few months.

3) Though technically, the stock has reached a resistance zone where it is likely to face some resistance (See Chart below)


4) Hence, we are betting on this resistance zone to sell the stock on rise tomorrow. Hindalco can be sold around 103.5 Rs with stop-loss at 105.5 and target levels of 101 and 98.